Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
04BRUSSELS3072
2004-07-20 06:06:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Brussels
Cable title:  

European Parliament: Key Leadership

Tags:  PREL PGOV EUN USEU BRUSSELS 
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BRUSSELS 003072 

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR EUR/ERA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV EUN USEU BRUSSELS
SUBJECT: European Parliament: Key Leadership
Decisions at July 20-23 Plenary


UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BRUSSELS 003072

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR EUR/ERA

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV EUN USEU BRUSSELS
SUBJECT: European Parliament: Key Leadership
Decisions at July 20-23 Plenary



1. (U) SUMMARY: At the July 20-23 European
Parliament (EP) plenary session, the 732 newly
elected MEPs from the 25 member states will formally
take their seats. The session's most significant
event will probably be the July 22 vote on Jose
Manuel Durao Barroso's nomination as Commission
President. MEPs will also elect the EP's next
president, choosing between leading candidates Josep
Borrell, a Spanish Socialist, and Polish Liberal
Bronislaw Geremek. Other items of business include
determining new committee and inter-parliamentary
delegation assignments, reviewing the results of the
June 17-18 European Council and achievements of the
Irish Presidency, and receiving a formal
presentation of the Dutch Presidency's program for
the rest of 2004. END SUMMARY.

EP PRESIDENT: BORRELL OR GEREMEK?
--------------


2. The 732 MEPs -- meeting for the first time since
the June 13 elections -- will elect a new EP
President on July 20, the plenary's opening day.
There are three candidates for the post:

-- Josep Borrell: A Spanish socialist who was
recently elected to the EP for the first time,
Borrell has long been prominent on the Spanish
political scene, most notably as Transport and
Energy Minister in the 1990s. More recently,
Borrell was a member of the Spanish national
parliamentary delegation to the Convention that
drafted the EU Constitution. He is expected to be
elected EP President -- despite his lack of prior EP
experience -- due to a "technical agreement"
concluded between the EP's two biggest groups, the
Christian Democrats and Conservatives (EPP-ED) and
the Socialists (PES),that would guarantee Borrell
the first 2-1/2 year term and an EPP-ED candidate
(likely EPP-ED leader Hans-Gert Poettering) the
second half-term.

-- Bronislaw Geremek: A Polish Liberal, Geremek --
like Borrell -- is a newcomer to the EP. A former
foreign minister, he was also a member of
Solidarnosc and played an active role in the fall of
communism in Poland. Geremek supported U.S.
intervention in Iraq and is considered an
Atlanticist. His candidacy has the support of the
88 members of the newly created "Alliance of the
Liberals and Democrats for Europe" (ALDE),composed
of the former Liberals (ELDR) plus the French

center-right UDF, Italian "Margharita," and several
smaller parties. He will also be supported by the
Greens.

-- Francis Wurtz: A French Communist and leader of
the far-left GUE-NGL group (41 members),Wurtz has
been a MEP since the first direct EP elections in

1979. He has no chance of going beyond the first
round of voting, however.


3. COMMENT: Although Josep Borrell appears to be
the guaranteed winner, the EPP-ED and Socialists
have started to privately question their alliance.
Geremek outscored Borrell in a July 13 debate;
Borrell then angered the EPP-ED by declaring that
since the vote would be by secret ballot, MEPs could
not be forced to vote for the EPP-ED candidate for
the second term -- suggesting that the PES might not
uphold its end of the deal. The EPP-ED on July 14
warmly welcomed Geremek at a political group
hearing; Poettering declared that "even if we do not
vote for you, you should be assured of our greatest
esteem." The atmosphere during Borrell's hearing
the next day was, in contrast, extremely cold.


4. COMMENT, Continued: Geremek's candidacy may
also look more attractive to the EPP-ED due to the
Liberals' announcement that they will support EPP-ED
member Jose Manuel Durao Barroso for Commission
President -- a commitment that many socialist
national delegations remain reluctant to make
publicly. Some EP observers believe that if the
EPP-ED could guarantee an alternative center-right
majority involving the ALDE, the technical agreement
with the Socialists will fall apart and Geremek
could become an unexpected winner of the July 20 EP
Presidential vote. Building such an alternative
center-right majority would probably be very
difficult, however, and would have to involve
euroskeptic or extreme-right factions that neither
the EPP-ED nor the ALDE wants to engage. END COMMENT

BARROSO LIKELY TO GET A NARROW MAJORITY
--------------


5. The EP on July 22 will vote on Jose Manuel Durao
Barroso's nomination as Commission President.
Barroso, who addressed EP political groups during
July 13-14 hearings, will have one more chance to
convince MEPs during additional hearings on July 21.
Although Barroso should win confirmation, the vote
will not be unanimous: the Greens, far left, and
many Socialists have indicated that they will vote
against him.


6. Barroso called for close transatlantic
cooperation during his hearings before the
Socialists (PES) and center-right (EPP-ED),
stressing that "political dialogue with the U.S. is
crucial" and that the EU should work closely with
its "ally and partner." He defended support for the
US on Iraq, asserting that "between the U.S. and
Saddam, I chose the U.S.". However, during his July
13 hearing with the Green party, he added: "I have a
great admiration for the United States, its civil
society, its universities, and its vitality. But I
hate arrogance, militarism, and unilateralism."

DEBATES ON IRISH AND DUTCH PRESIDENCY
--------------


7. Also on July 21, Irish Prime Minister Bertie
Ahern will report to MEPs on the progress made under
the Irish Presidency. His statement will include
the two European Council meetings in June, which led
to agreement on both a draft constitutional treaty
and the nomination of Jose Manuel Durao Barroso as
Commission President. Later in the day, Dutch Prime
Minister Jan Peter Balkenende will lay out the Dutch
Presidency's working program for July-December 2004.

NEW EP COMMITTEES AND DELEGATIONS
--------------


8. On July 22 MEPs will also decide on the
membership of Parliament's committees and inter-
parliamentary delegations (including the delegation
responsible for relations with the United States and
the Transatlantic Legislators' Dialogue) for the
next two and a half years. That afternoon, most
committees will hold their first meetings, at which
they will elect their own Chairs and Vice-Chairs.
(NOTE: The top jobs in committees and delegations,
as well as EP vice-presidents and quaestors, are
distributed among the various political groups
according to a mathematical method of calculation
called the "D'hondt procedure." However, we were
told that deals between political groups can
sometimes "bend" the strict attribution rules. END
NOTE.)

MCKINLEY