Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
04AMMAN6587
2004-08-05 18:00:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Amman
Cable title:  

WARNING SIGNS ON BOEING SALE TO RJ

Tags:  EAIR BEXP JO 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L AMMAN 006587 

SIPDIS

USDOC 4520/ITA/MAC/ONE/PTHANOS
DEPARTMENT FOR EB FOR WAYNE/MERMOUD

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/04/2014
TAGS: EAIR BEXP JO
SUBJECT: WARNING SIGNS ON BOEING SALE TO RJ

REF: AMMAN 5100

Classified By: CHARGE D'AFFAIRES DAVID HALE FOR REASONS 1.5 (B) AND (D)

C O N F I D E N T I A L AMMAN 006587

SIPDIS

USDOC 4520/ITA/MAC/ONE/PTHANOS
DEPARTMENT FOR EB FOR WAYNE/MERMOUD

E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/04/2014
TAGS: EAIR BEXP JO
SUBJECT: WARNING SIGNS ON BOEING SALE TO RJ

REF: AMMAN 5100

Classified By: CHARGE D'AFFAIRES DAVID HALE FOR REASONS 1.5 (B) AND (D)


1. (C) SUMMARY: In a series of conversations with Jordanian
stakeholders in Royal Jordanian Airlines' proposed purchase
of five Boeing 737s, Charge and Emboffs have received mixed
signals on how salvageable negotiations between Boeing and RJ
may be. This may reflect a decision by Jordanian stakeholders
either to indefinitely delay a Boeing purchase while
continuing to "make nice" with American interlocutors or to
radically change the makeup of Royal Jordanian Airlines (RJ).
These issues may surface at a planned meeting between King
Abdullah and Boeing Senior Vice President Thomas Pickering to
be held in London on Friday. END SUMMARY.


2. (C) In separate conversations, Charge has been told by
both Royal Court Chief Samir Al-Rifai and General
Intelligence Directorate head General Sa'd Khair that while
the King remained firmly committed to a purchase of five
Boeing 737 aircraft, they will be purchased by Royal Wings
rather than by RJ. Meanwhile, RJ would proceed with a lease -
without an option to buy - of five Airbus A320s and A321s.
(NOTE: Royal Wings is a wholly-owned subsidiary of RJ, flying
short range regional and charter flights; it currently has
only six commercial routes, the longest of which is to
Ankara. RJ CEO Samer Majali's influence on Royal Wings,
which has its own CEO, is in theory limited to his seat on
the board of the Royal Jordanian parent company, chaired by
Ministry of Transport Secretary-General Alaa Batayneh; in
practice, the two lines cooperate closely.)


3. (C) Prince Faisal, Air Force Commander, the king's
brother, and current patron of Jordanian aviation, told
Charge on August 5 that he had convinced the king of the
merits of this new twist in the proposed deal. He had been
frustrated that Boeing had not come up with a viable
financing/funding package, and did not want to further delay
an RJ fleet upgrade. Meanwhile, a Royal Wings purchase of
Boeing, if financing arrangements are satisfactory, would
enable expansion of Royal Wings' regional charter services.
He was convinced it was a commercially viable proposal. He
said that RJ had been set to proceed with the Airbus lease at
last week's board meeting, but had agreed to a delay pending
the meeting between Abdullah and Pickering.


4. (C) When engaged obliquely by the SCO last week on the
plan to switch the purchase to Royal Wings, however, RJ CEO
Majali convincingly professed complete ignorance. (NOTE: In
a conversation yesterday with Boeing representative Peter
Ledger, Majali seemed better briefed on this proposal.)
Majali acknowledged that negotiations with Boeing were going
very badly, but held out hope that the gap between the two
sides' positions might be overcome. Majali told SCO that he
is looking to Boeing or someone else to "fill the gap" not
covered by Ex-Im Bank financing, and that he would prefer
that the gap be filled by a cash infusion rather than further
financing. He would be disappointed if Boeing could offer no
more than financing. Majali has not yet pressed the issue to
a point of decision, repeatedly delaying the board meeting
that was finally held last week and to which Faisal referred.
He did, however, hold an unrelated RJ board meeting July 28
to decide on a $40 million bond issuance that could fund
either a Boeing purchase or an Airbus lease.


5. (C) COMMENT: The purchase of five 737s for Royal Wings
would increase its capacity more than tenfold, which might be
possible if a fairly dramatic rearrangement of RJ - giving
Royal Wings mid-range capability competitive with RJ - is in
the works or if Faisal's vision of new charter markets is
grounded in reality. Majali's apparent ignorance of the plan
suggests that it may in part be designed to sideline him
(Reftel). On the other hand, it is difficult to understand
how Jordan, which has had a very difficult time in finding
financing for a Boeing purchase, would decide that the best
course would be to simultaneously lease five more A320s and
buy five Boeings. Airbus may have succeeded in making RJ an
offer it can't refuse - but that nobody wants to hand an
engaged American government an outright disappointment. Post
will continue to work closely with Boeing and the department
on a strategy to a Boeing deal.
HALE