Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
03ZAGREB1439
2003-06-23 16:17:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Zagreb
Cable title:  

HDZ CONVENTION: EX-CONGRESSMAN SUGGESTS U.S.

Tags:  PGOV PREL HR NATO 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ZAGREB 001439 

SIPDIS


E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/23/2013
TAGS: PGOV PREL HR NATO
SUBJECT: HDZ CONVENTION: EX-CONGRESSMAN SUGGESTS U.S.
SUPPORT FOR HDZ

REF: ZAGREB 1230

CLASSIFIED BY: NICHOLAS HILL, POLECON COUNSELOR, FOR REASONS: 1.5 (B) A
ND (D).

SUMMARY
-------

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ZAGREB 001439

SIPDIS


E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/23/2013
TAGS: PGOV PREL HR NATO
SUBJECT: HDZ CONVENTION: EX-CONGRESSMAN SUGGESTS U.S.
SUPPORT FOR HDZ

REF: ZAGREB 1230

CLASSIFIED BY: NICHOLAS HILL, POLECON COUNSELOR, FOR REASONS: 1.5 (B) A
ND (D).

SUMMARY
--------------


1. (C) IVO SANADER IS PULLING OUT THE STOPS TO PRESENT HIS
PARTY AS PRO-WEST AND RESPECTABLE. HDZ'S ANNUAL CONVENTION
TOOK PLACE JUNE 21, AN EVENT SOME EXPECTED TO BE A YAWNER
SINCE NO PARTY SEATS WERE UP FOR ELECTION. HDZ PRESENTED
EX-U.S. CONGRESSMAN GUY VANDER JAGT AS THE CONVENTION'S
KEYNOTE SPEAKER. TO THUNDEROUS APPLAUSE, VANDER JAGT CLAIMED
THAT IVO SANADER HAD THE ENDORSEMENT OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY,
IN PARTICULAR, VICE PRESIDENT CHENEY AND SECRETARY RUMSFELD.
FOR HIS PART, SANADER'S SPEECH WAS MODERATE IN TONE. IN
REMARKS AFTER THE CONVENTION, HE DEFLECTED QUESTIONS ABOUT
INDICTED WAR CRIMINAL ANTE GOTOVINA. ACCORDING TO HDZ
OFFICIALS, TURNOUT AT THE CONVENTION WAS ALMOST 6,000, MUCH
LARGER THAN LAST YEAR'S. SANADER LOOKS TO HAVE CONSOLIDATED
HIS HOLD ON TUDJMAN'S OLD PARTY. THE EMBASSY ISSUED A
STATEMENT AFTER THE CONVENTION EXPLAINING THAT THE U.S.
GOVERNMENT DOES NOT ENDORSE ANY CANDIDATES. END SUMMARY

U.S. SUPPORTS THE HDZ?
--------------


2. (C) KEEN TO SHOW THAT HDZ IS REFORMING AND HAS
CREDIBILITY IN THE WEST, PARTY PRESIDENT IVO SANADER ASKED
GUY VANDER JAGT, FORMER REPUBLICAN CONGRESSMAN FROM MICHIGAN,
TO DELIVER THE KEYNOTE ADDRESS. VANDER JAGT -- WHO DELIVERED
THE NOMINATING SPEECH AT THE REPUBLICAN CONVENTION FOR RONALD
REAGAN IN 1980 -- TOLD THE THRONG AT ZAGREB'S CIBONA
BASKETBALL ARENA THAT MUCH OF WASHINGTON'S REPUBLICAN
ESTABLISHMENT WAS BEHIND HDZ. HE ASSERTED THAT THE
REPUBLICANS APPRECIATED IN PARTICULAR HDZ'S SUPPORT ON IRAQ.
VANDER JAGT CLAIMED IN HIS SPEECH THAT HE HAD SPOKEN TO
SECRETARY OF DEFENSE RUMSFELD AND VICE PRESIDENT CHENEY JUST

SIPDIS
BEFORE DEPARTING FOR CROATIA. THE DEFENSE SECRETARY,
ACCORDING TO VANDER JAGT, TOLD HIM TO DO A GOOD JOB TO HELP
THE HDZ. RUMSFELD, HE CLAIMED, EXPRESSED APPRECIATION FOR
SANADER'S SUPPORT ON IRAQ. REFERRING TO SANADER AS CROATIA'S
NEXT PRIME MINISTER, VANDER JAGT CALLED ON HDZ TO SWEEP THE
CURRENT GOVERNMENT OUT OF OFFICE -- AND, IN SO DOING, HE
PRESSED ALL THE HOT ECONOMIC AND NATIONALIST BUTTONS.


3. (C) VANDER JAGT WAS AMONG SEVERAL INTERNATIONAL VIPS
INVITED. HE WAS NOT INTRODUCED AS A "FORMER" CONGRESSMAN;
THE CLEAR AIM WAS TO CREATE THE IMPRESSION THAT THE U.S.
ADMINISTRATION ENDORSES HDZ AND WANTS TO GET THE CURRENT
GOVERNMENT OUT OF OFFICE. THE EX-CONGRESSMAN'S APPEARANCE
WAS ARRANGED BY FORMER CROATIAN AMBASSADOR TO THE U.S. MIOMIR
ZUZUL. IN CONTRAST TO VANDER JAGT AND SEVERAL OTHER EUROPEAN
SPEAKERS, DORIS PACK, PRESIDENT OF THE EU PARLIAMENT'S
COMMISSION FOR SOUTHEAST EUROPE, DELIVERED WHAT WAS LESS OF A
PEP TALK. SHE WAS SUBSTANTIVE AND CONVEYED THE FAMILIAR
THEMES ABOUT CROATIA'S INTERNATIONAL OBLIGATIONS. WHEN SHE
SAID SHE HOPED INDICTED WAR CRIMINAL ANTE GOTOVINA WOULD GO
TO THE HAGUE, THE AUDIENCE HISSED LOUDLY. (SANADER DID NOT
TOUCH ON GOTOVINA IN HIS PREPARED REMARKS, BUT WHEN ASKED
ABOUT IT IN A SUBSEQUENT HTV INTERVIEW, HE DISSEMBLED: "IN
OPPOSITION," HE DID NOT HAVE ALL THE INFORMATION NEEDED TO
MAKE AN INFORMED JUDGMENT.)

SPIN CONTROL
--------------


4. (C) WE PREPARED PRESS GUIDANCE TO GET OUT THE MESSAGE
THAT VANDER JAGT'S VIEWS DID NOT REPRESENT THOSE OF THE USG.
THE CROATIAN PRESS'S TRACK RECORD OF FACT CHECKING IS NOT
GREAT, AND WE WANTED TO BE SURE PEOPLE KNEW VANDER JAGT IS
NOT CURRENTLY A MEMBER OF CONGRESS. IN ADDITION, WE REACHED
OUT TO KEY ADVISORS OF PM RACAN AND PQSIDENT MESIC TO MAKE
SURE THEY GOT THE WORD. BOTH ARE FAMOUS FOR LEADING WITH
THEIR CHINS WHERE THE PRESS IS CONCERNED, AND WE DID NOT WANT
TO SEE THEM COMMENTING ON REMARKS BY VANDER JAGT, THE FULL
BACKGROUND OF WHICH THEY DID NOT HAVE.

COMMENT
--------------


5. (C) FOR HIS PART, SANADER HAS COME A LONG WAY SINCE HE
DEFEATED HARD LINER IVIC PASALIC IN A HOTLY CONTESTED
LEADERSHIP STRUGGLE A YEAR AGO. HE HAS CONSOLIDATED HIS BASE
AND JETTISONED A NUMBER OF THE MORE PROBLEMATIC FIGURES FROM
POSITIONS OF AUTHORITY IN THE PARTY. INDEED, HE KICKED A
PROMINENT HDZ RIGHT-WINGER, LJUBO CESIC-ROJS, OUT OF THE
PARTY. AS ONE COMMENTARY PUT IT AFTER THE CONVENTION,
HOWEVER, SANADER STILL HAS A LONG WAY TO GO TO CONVINCE
CROATIAN VOTERS -- AS DISTINCT FROM HDZ ACTIVISTS -- THAT HIS
PARTY ENJOYS INTERNATIONAL RESPECTABILITY. AND IF THE PARTY

ZAGREB 00001439 002 OF 002

RTNERS, THE DEMOCRATIC
CENTER (DC) AND THE CROATIAN LIBERAL PARTY (HSLS) SENT SECOND
TIER REPRESENTATIVES. THE PEASANTS PARTY (HSS),THE SECOND
BIGGEST IN THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT -- AND THE WIDELY-REPUTED
"KINGMAKER-TO-BE" -- SENT NOBODY. HSS HAD BEEN RUMORED FOR
MONTHS TO HAVE BEEN FLIRTING WITH HDZ.
ROSSIN

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