Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
03HARARE2394
2003-12-12 09:27:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Harare
Cable title:  

CALLS TO SEVER TIES NOT CREDIBLE

Tags:  PGOV ZI 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

120927Z Dec 03
C O N F I D E N T I A L HARARE 002394

SIPDIS

NSC FOR SENIOR AFRICA DIRECTOR J. FRAZER, TEITELBAUM
LONDON FOR C. GURNEY
PARIS FOR C. NEARY
NAIROBI FOR T. PFLAUMER

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/12/2013
TAGS: PGOV ZI
SUBJECT: CALLS TO SEVER TIES NOT CREDIBLE


Classified By: Political Officer Kimberly Jemison for reasons 1.5 b/d.

Summary: (C) A comment in Tuesday's Herald newspaper calls
for Zimbabwe to sever ties with Britain and AUSTRALIA. Such
a radical step is highly unlikely and British and EU
diplomats, while admitting that their governments are
formulating contingency plans, aren't overly concerned with
the rhetoric of the day, claiming Zimbabwe has too much to
lose. End summary.


2. (U) A front page editorial in Tuesday,s Herald newspaper
encourages the Government of Zimbabwe to sever ties with the
U.K. and AUSTRALIA beginning by withdrawing Zimbabwe
diplomats from Britain and AUSTRALIA and kicking British and
AUSTRALIAn diplomats out of Zimbabwe. The comment cited
little need &to continue pretending there is a semblance of
diplomacy with Britain or its AUSTRALIAn appendage(until the
real differences between the two countries are ironed out and
until there is genuine respect for Zimbabwe,s total
independence.8 In taking such a hard line, the comment
claims other African and Third World countries will celebrate
Zimbabwe and use its example as a model to liberate their
respective countries.


3. (C) Britain has not put much stock in the threats to sever
ties, a British diplomat told PolOff. Nonetheless, the
British are doing contingency planning. The implications of
Zimbabwe,s withdrawal from the Commonwealth, such as
modifying (visa) programs reserved for Commonwealth members
and the possible renaming of all High Commissions to
Embassies, however, require more immediate attention.


4. (SBU) If the British High Commissioner were declared
persona non grata and kicked out of the country, other EU
ambassadors would probably leave as well, according to a
Dutch diplomat. The diplomat believed there to be precedence
for such a pullout. If the British High Commission were
closed by the GOZ, the diplomat opined that the EU
ambassadors would be called back to their home countries for
consultations. Like the British diplomat, the Dutch diplomat
did not think the GOZ would take such extreme measures
because the consequences would be too great. In particular,
aid from the EU countries would cease.


4. Comment: (C) After further reflection on the
consequences, it is unlikely that the GOZ will do anything
more than its withdrawal from the Commonwealth. Severing
diplomatic ties with Britain would result in a significant
reduction in aid, including vitally needed humanitarian aid,
that would be compounded by the other EU countries likely
reaction to Britain,s expulsion that would further
impoverish Zimbabwe. End Comment.
SULLIVAN