Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
03ANKARA6702
2003-10-24 15:35:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Ankara
Cable title:  

TURKEY: BAYKAL MANEUVERS TO EASY VICTORY AT CHP

Tags:  PREL PGOV TU 
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241535Z Oct 03
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ANKARA 006702 

SIPDIS


E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/24/2013
TAGS: PREL PGOV TU
SUBJECT: TURKEY: BAYKAL MANEUVERS TO EASY VICTORY AT CHP
CONVENTION


REF: ANKARA 6613


(U) Classified by Political Counselor John Kunstadter.
Reason: 1.5 (b,d).


C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ANKARA 006702

SIPDIS


E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/24/2013
TAGS: PREL PGOV TU
SUBJECT: TURKEY: BAYKAL MANEUVERS TO EASY VICTORY AT CHP
CONVENTION


REF: ANKARA 6613


(U) Classified by Political Counselor John Kunstadter.
Reason: 1.5 (b,d).



1. (C) Summary: At a contentious but unenthusiastic
convention, CHP leader Baykal won re-election easily after he
rammed through by-laws that made challenging him nearly
impossible. In his speech opening the convention, Baykal
focused on what he termed CHP's historical role in Turkish
politics and roundly criticized the government for
cooperating with the U.S. in Iraq. Convention delegates are
likely to approve Baykal's preferred list of party assembly
candidates with few new faces, ensuring that there will be
few changes to CHP policies. End summary.


--------------
Baykal Outmaneuvers Opposition
--------------



2. (C) In a late-night vote Oct. 24 after hours of bickering,
delegates for the main opposition CHP re-elected Deniz Baykal
party chairman. In the final tally, Baykal received 973 of
1089 votes cast. 116 ballots were empty or invalid. Before
the vote, Baykal ensured that he would be the only candidate
for chairman by ramming through a hotly debated party by-law.
The by-law requires that any member who wants to run as a
candidate must receive support of 20 percent of the party
delegates, whereas in previous general conventions, potential
candidates could declare themselves with support from 5
percent of the delegates. The remaining opposition
candidates -- Erol Tuncer and Bedri Baykam -- were forced to
withdraw from the race as a result of the new by-law.



3. (C) As reported reftel, Baykal favored a block list (no
choice) of candidates for the party assembly. After hours of
heated debate, the motion in support of the block list
passed, ensuring that Baykal's favored candidates will enter
the CHP assembly. The convention's Oct. 24 start was delayed
until 1400 because of "Friday's special characteristics,"
according to the organizers, meaning voting for the party
assembly is likely to take place late in the evening.
(Comment: "Special characteristics" is an awkward reference
to Friday prayers, which many Turks attend. To admit that
the delay was based on respect for religious practice would
amount to a form of apostasy for Kemalist CHP. End comment)

As a result of the delay, we will not know the composition of
the assembly until late Oct. 24.


--------------
Somber Atmosphere
--------------



4. (C) Poloff attended first day of the Oct. 23-24
convention, which lacked any of the fanfare of even the more
subdued conventions we have attended over the past year.
Prior to the official start, embattled CHP Vice Chairman
Mehmet Sevigen, whom many of our contacts call Baykal's court
jester, repeatedly tried to rally the crowd but received, at
best, half-hearted replies. Sevigen announced over the loud
speaker each delegate and CHP M.P. as they entered the
convention hall. As Kemal Dervis entered with two close
colleagues -- M.P.s Fikret Unlu and Zulfu Livaneli -- Sevigen
remained silent. There were no banners supporting any
opposition candidate. Instead the crowd held banners
declaring "our Deniz (sea) is cleaner than our oceans." The
only chant to resonate with crowd was "Murderer U.S.A.,
Accomplice AKP," referring to the ruling AK Party. As party
delegates slowly filed into the hall, convention organizers
repeatedly played the "Tenth Year March," a 1933 Kemalist
hymn closely associated with the 1997 February 28 process,
which culminated with the resignation of then-P.M. Erbakan --
father of Turkey's modern political Islamist movement.


--------------
CHP's Special Guest
--------------



5. (C) Mainstream press is having a field day with Baykal for
inviting former Greek F.M. Pangalos, who for years was
essentially persona non grata in Turkey for his role in Greek
support for the PKK. Milliyet Oct. 24 published an enlarged
photograph of Baykal embracing Pangalos. Despite his
reputation here, Pangalos -- who Milliyet quoted as saying
that he is proud of what he did in the past to support the
PKK -- was greeted by applause from the convention audience.


--------------
Baykal's Message
--------------



6. (C) The Oct. 24 press is also critical of Baykal's
two-hour opening speech, which Milliyet columnist Fikret Bila
-- a frequent critic of the AK Government -- called
confusing. Baykal focused primarily on CHP's historical
importance in Turkish politics, asserting that the party has
always been Turkey's political "lighthouse." He denied CHP
is a "State-party" but rather the party that founded the
State. Turkey can achieve democracy by protecting the State,
he asserted. Claiming the AK Government is trying to
brainwash Turkey's youth, Baykal criticized AK policies on
education and decried AK's efforts to place its supporters in
key positions in the bureaucracy. (note: patronage is
practiced by every Turkish government. end note) Finally,
Baykal lambasted the GOT for passing the Parliament motion to
send troops to Iraq as part of a stabilization force. "I
deplore the government," he said.


--------------
Comment
--------------



7. (C) Baykal's transparent machinations to ensure complete
victory and total control over the party has sparked a wave
of public criticism in the press and within the party itself.
Even Milliyet columnist Can Dundar, who has indexed his
columns to CHP's anti-American drumbeat since the beginning
of 2003, wrote in his Oct. 24 report that Baykal behaved like
a Ottoman pasa. Former CHP state minister and party boss for
Sinop -- long known as a bastion of CHP propriety -- resigned
from the party Oct. 24, citing Baykal's undemocratic
practices. Without a facelift for the assembly, more could
follow, although our contacts still maintain that local
elections next March will be Baykal's last chance.



8. (C) Most of the frustration with Baykal in the
rank-and-file stems from his dictatorial style and control of
the party, rather than dissatisfaction with the general line
of CHP policies. There are those in CHP, like Kemal Dervis,
who claim they want to move away from the statist, strict
Kemalist version of the party and envision a CHP more like
European-style social democratic parties. But this is a
minority view untested by what Dervis would do in power; one
contact involved in the breakup of Dervis' summer 2002
alliance with former F.M. Cem described to us in detail Oct.
23 how Dervis, Cem, and former Deputy P.M. Ozkan worked with
former Deputy Chief of the General Staff Bir in a plan to
replace then-P.M. Ecevit through an internal party "coup" and
to maneuver President Sezer's replacement with Bir.



9. (C) Propaganda handed out at the convention provides a
better clue as to the general direction of today's CHP.
Eager CHP Youth Branch members distributed a book entitled
"CHP's Iraq Diary" -- which is fraught with anti-American
speeches from leading CHP members -- and a brochure called
"What did they say? The views of AK Party M.P.s on Iraq."
The message is clear: Baykal's CHP will continue to attempt
to use Iraq as its primary club against the GOT and USG. In
addition, CHP youth passed out magazines entitled "Turkish
Left," containing several anti-American articles, including a
particularly virulent one by by former Constitutional Court
chief Yekta Gungor Ozden -- who has been an outspoken
proponent of the Red Apple (Kizilelma) movement of far-left
and far-right crypto-fascists.
EDELMAN