Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
01PRAGUE2892
2001-11-14 16:05:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Prague
Cable title:  

CZECH RESPONSE: AFGHANISTAN'S FUTURE - NEXT STEPS

Tags:  PREL PTER AF EZ 
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P 141605Z NOV 01
FM AMEMBASSY PRAGUE
TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8140
INFO EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD PRIORITY 
AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L PRAGUE 002892 

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/14/2011
TAGS: PREL PTER AF EZ
SUBJECT: CZECH RESPONSE: AFGHANISTAN'S FUTURE - NEXT STEPS

REF: STATE 192153

CLASSIFIED BY: ACTING DEPUTY CHIEF OF MISSION JOHN J. BORIS
PER 1.5 (B) AND (D)

C O N F I D E N T I A L PRAGUE 002892

E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/14/2011
TAGS: PREL PTER AF EZ
SUBJECT: CZECH RESPONSE: AFGHANISTAN'S FUTURE - NEXT STEPS

REF: STATE 192153

CLASSIFIED BY: ACTING DEPUTY CHIEF OF MISSION JOHN J. BORIS
PER 1.5 (B) AND (D)


1. (C) ON NOVEMBER 13, WE BRIEFED THE NEW DIRECTOR OF THE
MFA'S ASIA AND PACIFIC DEPARTMENT, IVAN JESTRAB, ON THE
POINTS IN REFTEL ON AFGHANISTAN'S FUTURE. JESTRAB, WHO TOOK
OVER AS DIRECTOR ON NOVEMBER 1 AFTER SERVING FOR SEVERAL
YEARS AS THE CZECH AMBASSADOR IN NEW DELHI, EXPRESSED HIS
APPRECIATION FOR THE INFORMATION AND HIS DESIRE TO CONTINUE
THE CLOSE COOPERATION OF HIS PREDECESSOR WITH THE EMBASSY.
SPEAKING MORE GENERALLY, HE REITERATED THE STRONG SUPPORT OF
THE GOVERNMENT AND PEOPLE OF THE CZECH REPUBLIC FOR THE WAR
ON TERRORISM AND THE U.S. POLICY TOWARD AFGHANISTAN. HE
PROMISED TO SHARE THE INFORMATION WITH OTHER KEY PERSONNEL IN
THE MFA, INCLUDING IVAN BUSNIAK, THE DIRECTOR OF THE EASTERN
EUROPE DEPARTMENT, WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR CENTRAL ASIA, AND
JOSEF KOUTSKY, WHO IS THE ACTING DIRECTOR OF THE MIDDLE EAST
AND NORTH AFRICA DEPARTMENT. OVERALL COORDINATION OF THE
MFA'S AFGHANISTAN POLICY, HE SAID, WAS HANDLED BY THE
DIRECTOR GENERAL FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS, JAKUB KARFIK, A
FORMER CZECH DEPUTY CHIEF OF MISSION IN ISLAMABAD. THE NEW
DEPUTY MINISTER FOR BILATERAL RELATIONS, RUDOLF JINDRAK
(AND FORMER CZECH AMBASSADOR TO HUNGARY),WHO REPLACED HYNEK
KMONICEK ON NOVEMBER 1, IS FOCUSED ON HIS AREA OF EXPERTISE,
NAMELY EUROPE.


2. (C) JESTRAB EXPRESSED PESSIMISM ABOUT THE LIKELIHOOD THAT
NORTHERN ALLIANCE FORCES WOULD STOP SHORT OF KABUL. NEWS
REPORTS ALREADY INDICATED THEY WERE ENTERING THE CAPITAL. HE
WELCOMED ANY INFORMATION ON OUR THINKING ON THE LIKELIHOOD OF
FORMING OF COALITION GOVERNMENT AND THE POSSIBLE
PARTICIPANTS. DURING HIS SERVICE IN INDIA, THE DIRECTOR HAD
COME TO KNOW THE NORTHERN ALLIANCE'S AMBASSADOR TO INDIA AND
HIS WIFE AS PERSONAL FRIENDS AND FINE HUMAN BEINGS. JESTRAB
WAS RELIEVED TO LEARN HIS FRIEND SURVIVED THE ASSASSINATION
OF MASOOD. STILL, HE WAS SKEPTICAL WHETHER THE ALLIANCE,
WITH ITS LIMITED ETHNIC MAKEUP, COULD ENSURE THE CREATION OF
A BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT. THE RISK OF THE CARVING UP OF
AFGHANISTAN INTO WARRING FIEFDOMS LOOMED LARGE. A PROLONGED
GUERRILLA WAR COULD ALSO DE-STABILIZE PAKISTAN. IF A COUP
CAME, IT WOULD LIKELY BE LEAD BY "MEN IN BEARDS AND TURBANS"
(I.E., ISLAMIC FUNDAMENTALISTS) ALLIED TO THE TALIBAN.


3. (C) WHEN ASKED ABOUT AFGHANS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC,
JESTRAB NOTED HE HAD BEEN IN OFFICE A VERY SHORT TIME AND HAD
NOT YET HAD A CHANCE TO MEET ALL THE INTERESTED PLAYERS. HE
STATED, HOWEVER, THAT HE WAS NOT AWARE OF ANY COUNTRYWIDE
ORGANIZATION OF AFGHANS. MOST OF THE AFGHANS WHO WERE IN THE
COUNTRY HAD APPLIED FOR POLITICAL ASYLUM AND WERE HOPING TO
STAY IN EUROPE; THEY DID NOT, HE SAID, WANT TO ATTRACT
ATTENTION. THE LOCAL AFGHANI EMBASSY WAS STAFFED BY A SINGLE
DIPLOMAT WHOSE ABILITY TO INFLUENCE EVENTS OR POLICY WAS
MINIMAL. WE AGREED TO REMAIN IN CLOSE CONTACT.


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