Identifier | Created | Classification | Origin |
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01ABUJA3200 | 2001-12-13 15:44:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Abuja |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available. |
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 ABUJA 003200 |
1. (C) Summary: Minister of State for Army Lawal Batagarawa departed Nigeria on December 8 on his way to Washington to explain developments in Benue and neighboring states. In Washington, Batagarawa told us that the Nigerian Embassy has arranged several meetings on the Hill beginning December 10. Batagarawa will be in Washington until o/a December 18. During that time, he would like meetings in the Department (AF, DRL) and at the NSC. The following information is to give Washington interlocutors a preview of what Batagarawa will likely say. End summary. 2. (C) During our conversations with Batagarawa, he emphasized that the Tiv-Jukun rivalry, which is at the heart of the chaos in Benue and unrest in adjacent areas of Nasarawa and Taraba, is a long standing one. Violence between the two groups goes back many years. The cause of the feud is competition for arable land accentuated by Tiv expansionism. Both groups are agrarian. However, the hard-working Tiv have a much higher population growth rate; they keep grabbing new land to accommodate their numbers. They are known to move to greener fields after farming a parcel until soil fertility is exhausted. Tivs also are insular socially and culturally. Jukun and other ethnic groups feel severely threatened because the Tiv have expanded into lands formerly not theirs. This expansion would cause problems by itself but is further compounded by the alleged Tiv propensity to dominate and eventually expropriate new areas into which they move. Tension exists wherever a Tiv presence abuts another ethnic community. Because of their appetite for land and control, the Tiv are generally disliked by their neighbors. 3. (C) The perceived Tiv encroachment has larger political ramifications under democratic governance than under military rule. Control of land often begets control of local government administration, i.e., budgets and other significant resources. Both Tiv and Jukun have been well represented in the military (the Tiv more so), meaning there are numbers of retired soldiers and available weapons in the Benue-Taraba-Nasarawa border region. Both sides can count relatively well trained people in their informal militias. Given the longevity and violent nature of this feud, the military was faced with a difficult task when deployed to halt the ethnic clashes, Batagarawa will admit. 4. (C) Batagarawa and other GON officials perceive the outside world as focussing primarily on the military's attacks against the civilians and paying little, if any, attention to the gruesome murders of the 19 soldiers. Nevertheless, he will refute any suggestion that reprisal attacks against civilians were ordered by senior GON officials, particularly the President. He will state that the situation in Benue is complex -- all of the damage after the 19 soldiers were killed cannot be laid at the feet of the military. He attributes some of the damage and mayhem to Jukun counter-attacks. The Minister will blame the media for sensationalized reporting that brands the military as the sole culprit. Some Tiv politicians have willfully abetted the skewed media coverage. These Tiv have been angry at the Obasanjo regime, he will say. Obasanjo has dismissed many Tiv officers from the military, including Chief of Staff Victor Malu after he publicly defied the President's authority. Obasanjo had also deflected Tiv entreaties for more senior-level GON positions. Some Tiv also blame Obasanjo for the sacking of their ethnic brother, recently ousted PDP chairman Barnabas Gemade, in favor of an ethnic Idoma from Benue State, Audu Ogbeh. While moderate Tiv want to calm tensions, hard-line elements want Obasanjo to pay a political price for what they see as an estranged relationship. 5. (C) Batagarawa will state that resolution of problems in Benue requires a dual track approach. First, the GON must quell the violence. Reports indicate small-scale confrontations still occurring in some isolated areas, and that several people have been killed recently. The situation will require continued military deployment for the near future. Thus, the government is wary of taking any action undermining the morale or mandate of the deployed troops. While not trying to absolve guilty soldiers of blame for the violence they committed, Batagarawa will assert that investigating the reprisals will take time and must be done in a way that does not re-ignite armed hostilities. Although the army was not responsible for all of the reprisal violence, a govern ment statement indicating that Jukun were partially culpable may inspire militant Tiv to exact revenge. This is something the GON will work to avoid. Nevertheless, Batagarawa will state that the GON is committed to identifying and punishing guilty soldiers and civilians. But again, the government will proceed in a manner that does not foment additional unrest. 6. (C) Second, the GON must seek long-term solutions to the crisis. Long-term solutions involve convincing the Tiv to change land use methods and to eschew ethnic chauvinism. The Taraba Deputy Governor also told the Ambassador a few days ago that local non-Tiv groups will never allow Tivs to be a part of their traditional and/or political institutions. The GON must convince the Jukun and others to accept the Tiv presence and to accept the ethnic dynamics of migration in their specific rural setting. However, neither side will compromise and work toward these goals if they have been publicly fustigated by the GON as being the bad guy. 7 (C) Comment. The GON is edgy and defensive about Benue. Trying to boost its international image by amassing a commendable peacekeeping record abroad, the GON does not want this goal dashed by the military developing a sullied reputation for "peacekeeping" at home. Also, there is a genuine sense of regret in the GON for the loss of innocent lives in Benue. In their own way, the Nigerians will try to address human right concerns. There is a historical association between outbreaks of violence in Tiv-land and the later onset of larger-scale threats to national security and national integrity. Hence, the relative weight the GON attaches to human rights considerations in this matter differs significantly from ours. Moreover, there has not been a loud hue and cry raised within Nigeria over the reprisals against the Tivs. Due to the macabre execution and gruesome mutilation of the 19 soldiers and partly due to the general animus toward the Tivs, many Nigerians believe, however wrongfully, that the Tiv got their due. 8. (C) Comment cont. For Batagarawa and the GON, the bottom line is internal security. Because its soldiers constitute the last line of defense against widespread unrest, protecting the army as an institution from serious domestic fall-out will be a compelling GON imperative. This does not mean the GON will not punish miscreants; but it will proceed in a manner that neither causes rupture in the army nor sparks ethnic conflict. Judging by what Batagarawa and others have said, any investigative or judicial proceeding will be tempered by political considerations. Nevertheless, Batagarawa's visit provides an opportunity to underscore our concerns about Benue and the need for an impartial investigation there. The underlying message is that promoting the rule of law and human rights, at a moment when these ideas are right but politically awkward, is a sign of true commitment. Meeting Batagarawa also demonstrates that our minds are open and that we want to give the GON a fair hearing on the allegations of military brutality. End comment. Jeter |